Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoOriente Médio3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 69.1%
Previsores
79
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado21/04/23, 13:37 UTC31/12/29, 22:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Palestine hold a national election before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the State of Palestine still exist on Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will recognize Palestine before 2027?
KalshiWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
The last election was in 2005.
- Future elections have been "postponed indefinitely" by current president Mahmoud Abbas.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Palestinian_presidential_election
- Must be recognized internationally as a valid and fair election for the leadership of the State of Palestine (particularly by the UN and leaders of western nations).
- Doesn't necessarily need to be called a "presidential election".
- Disqualifying some potential candidates (Like Hamas) is ok.