Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 63%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado30/07/25, 22:02 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
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Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).
- Although there have been local elections, at the national level, Palestine has not held an election in 20 years.
- This question resolves YES if Palestine holds an election recognizably national in character.
- A presidential election would count, a parliamentary election would count, but local elections would not count.
- A presidential or parliamentary election for a large fraction but not all of Palestine (e.g. just the West Bank) would count, if it purports and is widely understood to be a national election for Palestine.
- The election needs merely to have substantively happened, regardless of its quality or results.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).