Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJ.D. Vance vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 61.5%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado23/11/25, 20:28 UTC10/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
When the primaries for both parties' candidates conclude, the combination of the Republican and Democratic nominees selected by the primaries will begin to function as a regular binary market, and all other options will resolve N/A and will be regarded as irrelevant for the remaining duration of the market.
- If the Republican nominee listed on the option wins the presidential election, the chosen option shall resolve YES.
- If the Democratic nominee (or a third party/independent candidate) wins, the chosen option shall resolve NO.
- The 9 initial combinations of candidates provided here are based on the current betting favorites on Polymarket.
- Anyone may add a combination to this market.
- The format for adding an option to the market is as follows:
