Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffIATecnologiaEquities3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.1%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado3/08/26, 14:41 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on any regular trading day from August 4, 2026, through December 31, 2026 (inclusive), the official daily closing price of the Nasdaq Composite Index is at least 15.00% lower than its closing price on August 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Baseline Close ($C_{Aug3}$): The official closing price of the Nasdaq Composite on August 3, 2026.
- Target Price ($T$): $C_{Aug3} \times 0.85$ (rounded to two decimal places).
- Trigger: If the index's closing price on any subsequent trading day within the specified timeframe is less than or equal to $T$.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) é resolvido?
- Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria