Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 71%
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175
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado26/03/24, 16:52 UTC2/01/40, 04:59 UTC
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If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 71% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? é resolvido?
- Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.