Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualsafely returns to Earth 93.9%Líder entre 35 opções
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57
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado7/04/24, 05:06 UTC31/12/39, 15:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.