Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição14aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.7%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado29/05/26, 19:47 UTC31/12/40, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.
- Resolves no as soon as a non-Democrat wins any of these elections.
- In the unlikely event that a candidate wins the majority of the electoral vote but isn't inaugurated due to faithless electors or other post-election shenanigans, the original electoral vote winner is counted as having "won." If no candidate wins a majority of the electoral vote and it goes to the House, the winner in the House is considered to have won.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040? é resolvido?
- Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2040.
- Como Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.