Will Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição13a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 82.1%
Previsores
283
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado24/05/23, 22:25 UTC1/01/40, 07:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market resolves as YES if Donald Trump, between 2016 and his death, is the Republican nominee in every presidential election.
- Otherwise, it resolves as NO.
- More specifically:
- This market resolves as YES if Donald Trump dies between May of 2023 and the 2024 Republican National Convention.
- This market resolves as YES if Donald Trump is selected as the Republican presidential nominee at the Republican National Convention in 2024 and dies before the 2028 Republican National Convention; the same holds for following election cycles, e.g. being the nominee in 2028 and dying before the 2032 RNC, etc. This market resolves as YES if the Republican Party ceases to exist, and Donald Trump was the nominee in every election from 2016 until the party's dissolution.
