Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?
TecnologiaQuarterly11m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 73.5%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado16/07/26, 14:01 UTC30/09/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Tesla start delivering cars with their AI5 computer onboard?
Manifold MarketsWill Taco Bell start selling burgers before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Boston Dynamics start selling their new Atlas humanoid robot to customers?
Manifold MarketsFord total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027
KalshiIn what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Tesla begins delivering production vehicles equipped with its next-generation "AI 5" (also known as "Hardware 5" or "HW5") computer to retail customers on or before September 30, 2027 (the end of Q3 2027).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key details and rules:
- Definition of "AI 5": The computer must be explicitly designated by Tesla as "AI 5," "Hardware 5," or "HW5", or similarly branded as a major improvement.
- Upgraded versions of older hardware, such as "AI 4.1" or "AI 4+", do not satisfy this requirement.
