Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
PolíticaMonthlyPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20269d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 82.3%
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43
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado5/03/26, 19:59 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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PredictItRegras
In 2018 Beto O'Rourke closed the vote share gap to incumbent Ted Cruz to a mere 2.56% turning a safe seat into an unexpectedly close race.
- This market resolves YES if the difference between Talarico's and the winner's vote share in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas is strictly less than that, and resolves NO otherwise
