Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 13:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 89.5%
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50
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado15/09/24, 12:29 UTC31/12/27, 12:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Space tourism is rapidly advancing, but whether it will be mainstream by 2027 is uncertain.
- Proponents argue that technological advancements, commercial launch plans, and infrastructure development like space hotels will make it accessible.
- However, critics point out the high costs, safety and regulatory challenges, and limited capacity, suggesting it will remain exclusive.
- Resolution Criteria:This will resolve YES if:
- By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are commercially available and can be booked by the general public, similar to traditional airline flights, regardless of cost.
- This will resolve NO if:
