Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 73.6%
Previsores
177
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado3/10/23, 03:22 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
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Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
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PredictItSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.
- Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events.
- So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 180,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 180,1 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 60,4 mil
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028? é resolvido?
- Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.