Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2028 9.2%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado26/03/24, 17:48 UTC2/02/28, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the USA abolish federal capital punishment (death penalty) by January 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 25 or more states have no death penalty at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2027, will Russia lift its death penalty moratorium and resume executions?
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Manifold MarketsPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegras
After the Crocus City Hall terrorist attack in Moscow multiple Russian politicians have advocated for the return of death penalty.
- The market will resolve positively if (and when) Russia officially lifts the moratorium on the death penalty, introduced in 1996.
- It could happen via a bill passed in parliament, a decision of the Constitutional Court, or via an executive order from the president.
- The market resolves as soon as the respective document is signed and/or published, possibly before it comes into force.
- In case of an (unlikely) disagreement between the branches of the government, what counts if the executive branch is going to follow it.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
