Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 64%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado2/08/26, 18:08 UTC15/08/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegras
Will the UK Restore and Reform parties merge or cooperate closely before the end of the next election?
- Criteria and examples:
- During the next election campaign, if parties withdraw candidates or selectively place candidates to support each other winning more votes, this resolves YES
- If there is a (semi-)formal agreement to support each others' activities in parliament during this cycle, resolves YES
- YES: A formal agreement is established to support each others actions or vote in the same way
- YES: The leadership announce an agreement to support each others actions or votes in the same way (the intention here is to avoid being hung up on having a 'signed piece of paper')
