Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 60%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado8/12/22, 18:09 UTC1/12/30, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
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PolymarketWill the Republicans win the Senate and House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExRegras
Resolves YES if after the 2030 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- If a politically independent/third-party senator is elected, they would count as a Republican for the purposes of this market if they are widely expected to caucus with the Republican party.
- Resolves N/A if these elections do not take place.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 60% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections? é resolvido?
- Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if after the 2030 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes.