Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 60.3%
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40
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado1/01/26, 18:13 UTC17/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Reform have been leading in the polls since April 2025.
- However, they are a relatively new party whose main attraction is a single, controversial figure.
- How unstable is the party, and its lead in the polls?
- Resolves YES if Reform UK falls and then stays below 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December).
- Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.
- This requires polling <20% i.e. not <=20%
