Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 78.6%
Previsores
78
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado21/02/24, 13:15 UTC25/01/30, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Putin die before Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhich US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of the United States die in office?
Manifold MarketsRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegras
Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies.
- I'll extend the close date if Putin has yet to die.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 193,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 710,8 mil
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 584,6 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 407,5 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,9 mi
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Putin die in office??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 79% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Putin die in office? é resolvido?
- Will Putin die in office? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will Putin die in office? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies.