Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 52.4%
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11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado2/04/25, 23:21 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Norway has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Norway joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.