Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 58.4%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado2/04/25, 23:23 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iceland has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Iceland joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.