Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.4%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
13/06/26, 04:11 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met on or before December 31, 2027:
- Losing the Premiership: Following the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled by October 27, 2026, or held earlier as a snap election), Benjamin Netanyahu is not the Prime Minister of Israel in the government successfully sworn in immediately after that election.
- Relocating to Miami: Within six months of the newly formed government being sworn in (and no later than December 31, 2027), Benjamin Netanyahu leaves Israel and takes up residence in the Miami metropolitan area (or South Florida) for a continuous period of at least 30 days.
- This must be confirmed by reputable national or international news organizations (e.g., The Times of Israel, Reuters, Associated Press, or The New York Times).
- This market will resolve to NO if:
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? é resolvido?
- Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria