Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?
EsportesOne-OffSaúde e medicinaXadrez2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 70.1%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado18/03/26, 22:53 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill Leffen ever win another Major? (Melee)
Manifold MarketsDid HIV come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRegras
Brain preservation company Nectome is looking to start taking patients this year.
- Their chief of operations claims "90% confidence on [being able to preserve people by] December 2026". https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead?commentId=fkSjPfqybvNJffPs3
- Their founder said: "I think Alcor got it right when they designed their system for long-term care of people.
- They use a separate company to actually hold preserved people, so that if Alcor (the entity doing perservations) goes out of business, Alcor (the separate entity holding preserved people) continues its operations.
- Startups fail all the time because they take risks and are doing new things.
- But graveyards fail much less often, because they get initial endowments and have very predictable costs and few people to pay.
