Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 78%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado3/03/26, 20:40 UTC31/12/26, 20:34 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.
- This market will be resolved with YES if S has created and resolved a market by December 31, 2026 (N/A doesn't count).
- If she has created a market by December 31, 2026 that has not yet been resolved, then the deadline will be extended until resolution, provided the market is still active.
- Disclaimer: I will make an initial purchase of NO shares and will not trade further until the market is resolved.
- S may trade on this market.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold? é resolvido?
- Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.