Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.2%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado3/07/26, 19:16 UTC24/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves based on
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on December 24, 2026 (Christmas Eve), Mitch McConnell's Class II U.S. Senate seat representing Kentucky is officially vacant.
- It will resolve to NO if the seat is occupied by Mitch McConnell or any successor who has been officially sworn in to fill the seat by that date.
- A vacancy exists if Mitch McConnell has died, resigned, been expelled, or otherwise officially vacated his office before December 24, 2026, and no successor has been officially sworn in and seated in the U.S. Senate to replace him by 11:59 PM EST on December 24, 2026.
- If Mitch McConnell remains the sitting Senator for Kentucky as of December 24, 2026, this market will resolve to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 24 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves based on