Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.6%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado4/08/26, 04:42 UTC4/08/36, 04:42 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Neal Dunn dies before Mitch McConnell.
- This market resolves to NO if Mitch McConnell dies before Neal Dunn.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official announcements of death reported by major reputable news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times).
- Same-Day Deaths: If both individuals die on the same calendar day, the market will resolve based on the official time of death.
- If the precise sequence of deaths cannot be verified from official reports, the market will resolve to 50%.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? é resolvido?
- Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de agosto de 2036.
- Como Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria