Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição9aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.7%
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado28/08/23, 00:15 UTC31/12/35, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
- They will be resolved based on the spirit of the hypothesis, using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036? é resolvido?
- Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2035.
- Como Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.