Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.1%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado19/02/26, 22:47 UTC31/03/30, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
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Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market estimates McArthur River's 2029 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2030 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2029 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2029 through December 31, 2029
- YES if: 2029 production (100% basis) ≥22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2029 production (100% basis) <22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? é resolvido?
- Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2030.
- Como Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market estimates McArthur River's 2029 production (100% basis).