Will Joe Biden have a shorter post-presidency than George Washington
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 73.9%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado13/08/26, 03:24 UTC31/10/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Joe Biden has a strictly shorter post-presidency than George Washington.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
- George Washington's post-presidency: March 4, 1797, to December 14, 1799 (exactly 1,015 days).
- Joe Biden's post-presidency: Began at noon on January 20, 2025.
- To have a strictly shorter post-presidency than George Washington, Joe Biden must pass away on or before October 31, 2027 (representing 1,014 days or fewer).