Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027?
RegulamentaçãoOne-Off9mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55.1%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado10/02/26, 21:32 UTC30/06/27, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 0.8 GWh by Sep 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 25.0 GWh by Jun 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 27.0 GWh by Sep 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 2.5 GWh by 2027-06-30.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2027-06-30 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2026-01-01 to 2027-04-01
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
Mercados abertos
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 220,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 105,1 mil
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027? é resolvido?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria