Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026?
One-OffTecnologiaIA3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.1%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado15/12/25, 17:14 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.
- I have not yet used Waymo, but I plan to before the end of 2025 (https://manifold.markets/MingweiSamuel/will-i-be-able-to-hail-a-driverless-2lIA6zLStc).
- Resolves yes if I can book a ride from Oakland to SF (or reverse) and successfully do so.
- The ride must not have a safety driver.
- (If I book a trip but do have a safety driver, I will try at least one more time to get a ride without one) (If I am not physically able to attempt to book a ride to check for myself, I will resolve N/A)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I am currently approved for Waymo in the SF peninsula service area, and am on the waiting list for freeway access.