Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 63.9%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado28/01/24, 17:54 UTC2/01/61, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Must be a manned mission to the Outer Solar System (beyond orbit of Jupiter)
- Must be achieved before 2061
- Humans do not need to step foot on a solid object in the Outer Solar System, but must enter orbit around a celestial object in that region (gas giant planets or asteroid)
Mercados abertos
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- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
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- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns? é resolvido?
- Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2061.
- Como Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Must be a manned mission to the Outer Solar System (beyond orbit of Jupiter)