Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.3%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado28/03/24, 08:03 UTC29/03/61, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegras
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Elon Musk spends 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Elon Musk” is only Elon Reeve Musk, former chairman of Tesla, born on June 28, 1971.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-day-in-outer @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-week-in-oute @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-month-in-out (this market) @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-year-in-oute
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space? é resolvido?
- Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de março de 2061.
- Como Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.