Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 78.5%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 03:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2007088281507488174
- Resolves YES if at any point before EOY 2026, the articles available on Grokipedia exceed the amount of articles on Wikipedia's English site.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- In the unlikely event that either Grokipedia or Wikipedia shuts down, this market will be marked as N/A. Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Grokipedia and English Wikipedia have exactly the same number of articles at any point before EOY 2026, this does not count as surpassing and the market will resolve NO.
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Article counts will be determined using exact numbers unless the exact count is unavailable, in which case the creator will use the most accurate count available.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2007088281507488174