Will Gitmo or Cecot transition from concentration camps to full blown extermination camps by the 2028 US election?
PolíticaOne-OffSaúde e medicinaEleiçãoCrime e justiça2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 19 de out. de 2026, 17:17 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 82%
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Atualizado há 52 minutos
Atrasado1/04/25, 22:46 UTC4/11/28, 23:59 UTC
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Gitmo here means all detention centres in US controlled Guantanamo Bay.
- Cecot here means the Centre for Confinement of Terrorism in El Salvador.
- Being a full blown extermination camp here means that there is verified evidence in mainstream media that >10% of US deportees sent there have been killed or sentenced to death, with killing including not only direct execution but also deaths from overworking, neglect, starvation, and disease where it is intentionally brought about by the operators of the facilities.
- Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Timing:
- Initial Resolution: An initial resolution will be made soon after the market close date to avoid locking up mana unnecessarily.
- Re-resolution: The market will be re-resolved if new, verified, reputable evidence emerges after the initial resolution.
