Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 86.6%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado3/02/26, 05:03 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the combined mass of all Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launches to orbit in 2027 exceeds the combined mass of all Starship launches to orbit in 2027.
- It resolves NO if Starship launches more total mass to orbit than Falcon 9/Heavy combined.
- Mass is measured as the actual payload delivered to orbit, not including rocket stages or fairings such as the starship vehicle.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 944,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 721,8 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- € 620 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 536 mil
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- € 514,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 496,9 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria