Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 95.5%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado2/12/24, 18:45 UTC1/06/27, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Emmanuel Macron formally resigns from the office of President of France before the scheduled end of his term in May 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if Macron completes his term or if his presidency ends through other means (such as impeachment, death, or medical incapacity).
- For resolution purposes:
- A temporary transfer of power (such as during medical procedures) does not count as resignation
- The resignation must be formally accepted according to French constitutional procedures
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? é resolvido?
- Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de junho de 2027.
- Como Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria