Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96%
Previsores
68
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado30/05/22, 18:32 UTC1/01/30, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Nobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Manifold MarketsWho will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This question resolves YES if former US President Donald Trump is awarded any of the six prizes listed on https://www.nobelprize.org/ (Peace, Literature, Chemistry, Physics, Medicine or Econonic Sciences) before 1st Jan 2030, regardless of whether he accepts the award.
