Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 51.7%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado27/07/26, 22:19 UTC1/01/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
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LimitlessRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump makes a subsequent visit to mainland China, Hong Kong, or Macau on or after July 27, 2026, and before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC).
- Because Donald Trump already completed a state visit to Beijing on May 13–15, 2026, his past trip does not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- This market requires a new, separate visit during the specified timeframe.
- The market will resolve based on official statements from the White House or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, or consensus reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg).
- A "visit" is defined as Trump physically landing and setting foot in the specified territory.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 52% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria