Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55.8%
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Atrasado8/04/26, 14:19 UTC31/03/27, 04:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
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This market resolves YES if China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending January 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 50 tonnes for January 2027 NO if: Export volume below 50 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)