Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 14:19 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for October 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
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- € 100,1 mil
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- Yes-0.2pt4%
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- Volume 24h
- € 38,7 mil
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- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? é resolvido?
- Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.