Will Donald Trump ever publicly endorse another presidential candidate?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição18a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 73.6%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 37 minutos
5/11/24, 00:25 UTC15/06/45, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Washington Post endorse a presidential candidate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill David Chalmers publicly endorse physicalism about consciousness by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWho will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWhich party will Richard Hanania finally endorse in the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Specifically, this market is asking, "Will Donald John Trump (born 14 June 1946; 45th President of the United States), hereafter "Mr. Trump", ever publicly endorse (or publicly state that he voted early for) a candidate for President of the United States besides himself?" Any endorsements made as part of private correspondence or conversation which are later made public against Mr. Trump's wishes, will not answer this question.
- If the YES criteria have not been met, then this market will resolve NO 30 days after Mr. Trump's death.
- This market's close date is arbitrary.
- If no criteria have been met to resolve by that time, then the close date should be extended by either me or a moderator.
- I will not bet in this market.
