Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.8%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado9/09/26, 12:55 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party's nominee wins the 2028 United States presidential election.
- It resolves to NO if any other candidate (Republican, third-party, or independent) wins the election.
- The outcome will be determined by the official certification of the Electoral College votes by the U.S. Congress, typically scheduled for January 2029.
- In the event of a contingent election in the House of Representatives, the winner of that contingent election will determine the resolution.
- Reliable major news sources reporting the certified winner—such as the Associated Press or Reuters—will be used for verification.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
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- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
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- € 615,5 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will democrats take back the white house in 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria