Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 61.1%
Previsores
38
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado1/08/24, 08:26 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
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Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's candidate is officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body.
- If the Democratic candidate is not declared the winner, it will resolve to "No."
