Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 50%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado13/01/25, 16:38 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC
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This market immediately resolves to YES if, before January 1, 2030, China clearly demonstrates hostility toward Russia.
- Hostility is defined as any of the following actions:
- Territorial aggression: An attempt to acquire any of Russia's internationally recognized territory through coercion, military action, or other forms of force.
- Severing of diplomatic relations: The formal termination of diplomatic ties by China, such as the withdrawal of ambassadors and closure of embassies.
- Economic warfare: Imposition of significant economic sanctions, trade embargoes, or other major punitive measures targeting Russia.
- Military hostility: Direct military confrontation, including but not limited to attacks on Russian forces, assets, or infrastructure.
