Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
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1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 14:20 UTC31/12/27, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 50 tonnes for October 2027 NO if: Export volume below 50 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? é resolvido?
- Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.