Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 60%
Previsores
84
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 48 minutos
Atrasado29/05/23, 14:06 UTC1/01/35, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsTrump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon
Manifold MarketsOn which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWhich country would land the next person on the moon?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.
Mercados abertos
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Volume total
- € 303,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 298,8 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt97%
- Google2%
- OpenAI1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 46,8 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202864%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt44%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 944,9 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX+3.5pt51.5%
- Anthropic-3.7pt47.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture-2.0pt40.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt36.6%
- No solution by Dec 31, 2027+1.0pt16.8%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+3.0pt85.2%
- Google-1.8pt6.9%
- OpenAI-1.9pt5.9%
+18 mais resultados
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? é resolvido?
- Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.