Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.9%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado8/04/26, 14:18 UTC30/09/26, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsChina strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
KalshiWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending July 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for July 2026 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Mercados abertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 11,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 38,7 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume total
- € 356,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11 mil
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? é resolvido?
- Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if China July 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.