Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 70.1%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 17:53 UTC31/05/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 1.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill US carbon dioxide emmissions exceed 4,300 million metric tons in 2028?
ForecastExWill US carbon dioxide emmissions exceed 4,350 million metric tons in 2028?
ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 6.4 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- China Hongqiao is the world's largest single primary aluminum producer. 2024 capacity 6.46 Mt; constrained by China's 45 Mt national smelter cap.
- The 6.4 Mt strike for 2028 reflects the run-rate; absent capacity-cap relaxation in Beijing's 15th Five-Year Plan, sustained output above this level requires utilisation gains rather than new capacity.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China Hongqiao Group annual results announcement (HKEx 1378) http://en.hongqiaochina.com/
