Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 58.6%
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1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado6/04/26, 18:23 UTC31/12/27, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
- Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting
