Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 69.7% em 5 de novembro de 2026.

Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?

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Não 69.7%

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Atualizado há 19 minutos

8/06/23, 02:50 UTC1/01/30, 05:00 UTC

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For many years, Catalans have wanted to become an indepdenent nation and break off from Spain.

On October 1, 2017, they tried to hold a binding vote to formally declare independence.
It failed, as the central government in Madrid cracked down on the vote declaring it an illegal referendum, jailing its leaders and suspending its government.
Will Catalonia try to do the same thing again before 2030?
Catalan independence movement - Wikipedia
2017 Catalan independence referendum - Wikipedia