Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71.6%
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1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado30/03/26, 21:43 UTC31/12/26, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 80 kt on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Cumulative Brazilian exports of ferroniobium (HS 7202.93) to all global destinations, in kilotonnes, for the 6-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- The 3-month lag ensures MDIC/Siscomex data has been published for all months in the window.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: October (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: April – September (current year) total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? é resolvido?
- Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 80 kt on December 31, 2026.